Dec. 18 – “Nice Reset” Before the Santa Rally
Let’s be honest. Lately, does it feel like the Santa Rally is not going to happen?
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Dec. 10 — FOMC review: macro direction meets technicals, the “no-volume zone” battle at QQQ 622
Today was the FOMC meeting. For the main headlines, see the attached card for a quick summary.
NVDA UPDATES
Let’s look at NVIDIA (NVDA) from two angles: fundamentals and technicals.
Avoid Blind Optimism — December Will Not Be a One-Way Rally
Since the key turning point on Nov. 20, the market has moved sharply. QQQ is up almost 6%, SPY is up 5%, and IWM (Russell 2000) is up nearly 9%.
Nov 20: Daily Updates
AI leader Nvidia #NVDA kept strong growth. This eased some worries about an AI bubble. The “Big 7” tech companies have now all reported earnings for this quarter. GOOGL, NVDA, and AAPL formed the first group. AMZN, MSFT, META, and TSLA formed the second group.
QQQ Analysis
If we add up all the bearish headlines in the market right now, QQQ could see a pullback of about 10%. That would mean a drop from the Oct. 29 high of $637 down to the 575–576 area.
This Week's Key Events (Oct 17-21)
The U.S. government has reopened. Many Federal Reserve members will give public speeches this week. As of Friday, 92% of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings, so this earnings season is almost finished. Overall earnings are up 13.1% year-over-year, and revenue is up 8.3%, both above earlier market expectations.
This Week's Key Events (Oct 10-14)
The U.S. government shutdown is now entering its 7th week. It is still uncertain whether the October inflation data will be released on time. Several Fed members will give public speeches this week.
Nov 7:Daily Updates
In the first week of November, major indexes pulled back from recent highs. SPY has already reached the upper boundary of the first target adjustment zone mentioned in Tuesday’s premarket note, which also aligns with the short-term trendline support shown in last weekend’s review video. Previous strong AI leaders have become the main force dragging the market down.
ORCL: Institutional Holdings Stable, Return to $330 Still Likely This Year
Nov. 03 ORCL: Institutional Holdings Stable, Return to $330 Still Likely This Year
This Week's Key Events(Oct 3-7)
Starting this weekend, North America will switch to winter time.
Oct 31: Daily Updates
The last trading day of the month, with the stock index set for six straight months of gains. After Amazon and Apple’s earnings reports, both hit new highs, lifting the major indexes sharply higher. Tech stocks are leading the rally — NDX100 is up nearly 1.5% pre-market.
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